Several lambda values make the movement visible. The exact table and coordinate plot show the weight moving toward zero.

highlighted = computed this step

Shrinkage table

Evaluate the same exact formula at λ=0, 1, 3, and 5. The weights are 8/5, 4/3, 1, and 4/5.

λ: 0,1,3,5w: 8/5,4/3,1,4/5\lambda:\ 0,1,3,5\quad w:\ 8/5,4/3,1,4/5
Ridge shrinkageExact table and fitted-line overlay.exact shrinkage tableλΣx^2+λw(λ)058/5164/33815104/5|w(λ)| decreases as λ increasesλ=0, w=8/5λ=3, w=1λ=5, w=4/5through-origin ridge fit; λ is chosen before the solve; shrinkage is mechanical, NOT afuture-data claim

The fitted lines move

The coordinate plot overlays a few through-origin fitted lines. As λ grows, the shown weight moves toward 0 by exact Fraction arithmetic.

λw(λ)\lambda\uparrow\quad\Rightarrow\quad |w(\lambda)|\downarrow
Ridge shrinkageExact table and fitted-line overlay.exact shrinkage tableλΣx^2+λw(λ)058/5164/33815104/5|w(λ)| decreases as λ increasesλ=0, w=8/5λ=3, w=1λ=5, w=4/5through-origin ridge fit; λ is chosen before the solve; shrinkage is mechanical, NOT afuture-data claim

Summary

The shrinkage is watchable: every displayed row comes from the same denominator sum x squared plus λ.

85+λ{8\over 5+\lambda}
Ridge shrinkageExact table and fitted-line overlay.exact shrinkage tableλΣx^2+λw(λ)058/5164/33815104/5|w(λ)| decreases as λ increasesλ=0, w=8/5λ=3, w=1λ=5, w=4/5through-origin ridge fit; λ is chosen before the solve; shrinkage is mechanical, NOT afuture-data claim