Spin measurement depends on the basis used to ask the question. Exact arithmetic here means exact results for the stated model inputs; measured inputs still carry uncertainty and significant-figure limits.
highlighted = computed this step
The same state can be asked a z-basis question
For the plus x state, a z-basis measurement gives 1/2 and 1/2.
P↑=21,P↓=21
The basis choice changes the probability rows
The z-basis row splits evenly; the x-basis row is definite for the same state.
basiszxplus211minus210total11
The x-basis question can be definite
The x-basis probabilities are 1 and 0. A basis choice is part of the measurement.