Changing the assignment matrix moves the observed readout budget for the same true state. Exact arithmetic here means exact results for the stated model inputs; measured inputs still carry uncertainty and significant-figure limits.

highlighted = computed this step

Matrix quality changes what the same state looks like

The true state is fixed at 3/4 zero and 1/4 one. Only the assignment matrix changes.

ptrue=(34,14)p_{\text{true}}=\left(\frac{3}{4},\frac{1}{4}\right)
Mild matrix predictionThe middle matrix changes the observed distribution.true probabilitieszero 3/4one 1/4assignmentobserved probszero 13/20one 7/20over 20 shots13 zero reads7 one reads

Three matrix qualities move the observed budget

The table shows perfect, mild, and soft assignment rows. The shot total stays fixed, so count changes come from matrix quality.

AcAepzpoNzNo1034141554515132072013735251120920119\begin{array}{c|c|c|c|c|c}A_c&A_e&p_z&p_o&N_z&N_o\\1&0&\frac{3}{4}&\frac{1}{4}&15&5\\\frac{4}{5}&\frac{1}{5}&\frac{13}{20}&\frac{7}{20}&13&7\\\frac{3}{5}&\frac{2}{5}&\frac{11}{20}&\frac{9}{20}&11&9\\\end{array}
Matrix-quality scanThe mild row is the central comparison.true probabilitieszero 3/4one 1/4assignmentobserved probszero 13/20one 7/20over 20 shots13 zero reads7 one reads

The soft matrix pulls the result toward ambiguity

With the soft matrix, expected zero reads drop to 11 while expected one reads rise to 9.

1120+920=1\frac{11}{20}+\frac{9}{20}=1
Soft matrix predictionThe prediction still closes to one probability.true probabilitieszero 3/4one 1/4assignmentobserved probszero 11/20one 9/20over 20 shots11 zero reads9 one reads

This is readout accounting, not error correction

The scan makes no correction claim. It shows how calibrated assignment rows change observed probabilities and expected counts.

Aptrue=pobservedA\,p_{\text{true}}=p_{\text{observed}}
Readout accounting auditEvery count is derived from the displayed matrix.true probabilitieszero 3/4one 1/4assignmentobserved probszero 13/20one 7/20over 20 shots13 zero reads7 one reads