A spin readout can be modeled as a two-state quantum measurement without drawing an orbiting particle. Exact arithmetic here means exact results for the stated model inputs; measured inputs still carry uncertainty and significant-figure limits.
highlighted = computed this step
Spin readout is a two-state measurement model
The diagram has two possible readout states. It is not a picture of a tiny ball orbiting a nucleus.
two readout states
Amplitudes set readout probabilities
The probabilities are 9/25 for the first state and 16/25 for the second state.
Pfirst=259,Psecond=2516
The two readout probabilities close the budget
The displayed state is the first row. The next rows are limiting cases that show the same two-state budget rule.