The pinned expected costs tie, so the rule chooses the smaller order.

highlighted = computed this step

Expected-cost tie

Order quantities 2 and 3 both have expected cost 2.

E[cost at q=2]=2E[\text{cost at }q=2]=2
Tie and choiceThe expected-cost tie is resolved by the smaller-order rule.tie resolved by smaller orderchosen q=2 by smaller-order tie ruleqE overE underE costcost bar101621/41/42chosen3102cost tie

Tie rule

The tie rule chooses the smaller order quantity.

choose smaller tied q\text{choose smaller tied }q
Tie and choiceThe expected-cost tie is resolved by the smaller-order rule.tie resolved by smaller orderchosen q=2 by smaller-order tie ruleqE overE underE costcost bar101621/41/42chosen3102cost tie

Chosen quantity

The chosen quantity is 2.

q=2q^*=2
Tie and choiceThe expected-cost tie is resolved by the smaller-order rule.tie resolved by smaller orderchosen q=2 by smaller-order tie ruleqE overE underE costcost bar101621/41/42chosen3102cost tie

Tie honesty

This is a real tie in the pinned arithmetic, not a hidden unique optimum.

tie stated explicitly\text{tie stated explicitly}
Tie and choiceThe expected-cost tie is resolved by the smaller-order rule.tie resolved by smaller orderchosen q=2 by smaller-order tie ruleqE overE underE costcost bar101621/41/42chosen3102cost tie