What-If and Scope

Honest Learning Scope

This learning curve is deterministic arithmetic, not a fitted prediction.

highlighted = computed this step

Deterministic Snapshot

This snapshot uses a fixed first unit time and fixed learning rates.

base final checkpoint=256/5what-if final checkpoint=675/16\text{base final checkpoint} = 256/5\quad\text{what-if final checkpoint} = 675/16
Learning curve unit timeThe chart compares the base checkpoint table with the what-if rate.learning curve unit timefirst unit 100; rate 4/5; milestone sum 1476/5unitdoublingsbase timewhat-if timedifference10100100021807554264225/431/483256/5675/16721/80unit 1u1 100unit 2u2 80unit 4u4 64unit 8u8 256/5what-if unit 8 675/16; reduction 721/80deterministic repeated-doubling arithmetic only

Honesty Note

This is deterministic repeated-doubling arithmetic only. It does not fit an exponent, predict future labor, set labor standards, or make quality, cost, staffing, or causality claims.

learning-curve arithmetic here is not prediction\text{learning-curve arithmetic here is not prediction}
Learning curve unit timeThe chart compares the base checkpoint table with the what-if rate.learning curve unit timefirst unit 100; rate 4/5; milestone sum 1476/5unitdoublingsbase timewhat-if timedifference10100100021807554264225/431/483256/5675/16721/80unit 1u1 100unit 2u2 80unit 4u4 64unit 8u8 256/5what-if unit 8 675/16; reduction 721/80deterministic repeated-doubling arithmetic only